I meant city areas untouched sure we have some villages and the odd suburban area been planned.
given the last announcement had hardly any exchanges it seems to be slowing down if anything
The announcements have indeed slowed down - but I think that is because BT really did have to adjust their original plans down in scale earlier in the year - whether it was because of boundless optimism, or because of the weather, or just bad planning.
No matter the reason, the effect is that they can't handle too many exchanges over the existing announcements, unless they get a lot more manpower into the system.
So overall, I reckon the slowdown in announcements is because they're more realistic with the plans, and they're letting reality catch up with their previous ambition.
I also havent forgotten the blunt and direct exchanges not viable when my MP asked BT. Not they will come later.
Ah - well, I can't factor that into my thinking, can I? Did he ask about the area, cities, towns, or individual exchanges?
And when was this? Was it when BT had their original plans of 40%, or the more recent target of 67%?
I think you clutching at straws as you seem to be suggesting they moving around england enabling counties at a time, which doesnt explain how they can enable a little village called rothley and a little town called coalville in the middle of nowhere, everything between them untouched and they pick one suburb and leave the rest alone. No logical rollout expanding from the original ones.
I don't think they're *quite* working that way. But I do think the biggest limitation is human manpower - in both the training of the right skilled people, and then having them in the right place, at the right time.
If they have 20 places on a training course, do they send 20 people from all over the country, randomly? Or do they try to get people who will ultimately form 2 or 3 teams from one area of the country? The latter technique gets teams up & running faster, but it means the rollout has to concentrate on certain areas first.
Are they doing that? I have no idea whatsoever. But I have worked at the planning of putting staff onto projects, and getting those projects to continue over long periods. The biggest factors involved were always about have the right staff doing the right thing, at the right time. I don't doubt that BT have a bigger headache in having to do all of that, but spread throughout the country.
And that's only the teams installing the core networks. Once the product is ready for service, then the installation at a punter's property needs a number of the local engineers to have been trained too. That's probably also a good reason for staggering rollout across the country.
As for which exchanges get done in what order, within an area? I don't know that either. Perhaps, once they have some teams trained up for the local area, they start them out on easier exchanges first - villages, or smaller towns perhaps. Perhaps they will only tackle the bigger places once there are a few teams ready in the area, and they've had practice elsewhere.
and I think most of 2013-2015 will be the subsidised rural areas.
I reckon about a third of BT's effort then will be for the subsidised areas. The other two thirds of their time will be with them expanding from the 40% mark up to the 67% mark.
Remember that "10 million premises in 2012" is BT's old target (from 2010) - which they said was 40% of the UK.
The latest PR from BT was "...five million premises is a significant milestone and we are well on our way to passing 10 million in 2012 and two-thirds of UK premises by the end of 2015."
That means there is another 27% to go in the 2013-2015 period just to get to their own "two-thirds" self-funded target. That's 7 million premises in the 3 year period.
The unplanned rural areas are then the final third - although I'm sure I've also seen the subsidies
refer to only 20%, without it being clear as to whether that 20% are the properties in the next 67-87% range, or in the final 80-100% range. That third represents 8 million, and 20% represent 5 million... but will BT get any of those? If I stick a wild-guess finger in the air, and guess that BT will end up with half of the smaller number, that's another 2.5 million premises in the same 3 year timescale.
If they got all that business, a total of 9.5 million premises in 3 years is roughly identical to the 10 million they look to achieve in the 3 years of 2010-2012.
I've seen mentioned that BT are passing 70,000-80,000 premises each week - perhaps 3.5 million per year.
Those figures all stack together to suggest that BT are running at full speed on the rollout - and that they need to keep it going for the next 18 months to hit their first target. They'll also need to sustain the same speed for another 3 years if they get any of that rural work too; without it they could slow down to just 50,000 premises per week.
They'll probably be harder premises to pass (unless they really are keeping Nottingham & Leicester until last
), so they might still need more people.
All-in-all, while the exchange announcements have slowed down, it seems that the work hasn't... and can't.