To an extent no, I do not expect transit and peering to keep pace with access speeds.
They haven't elsewhere where access networks have gone ultra fast so unsure why we'd be different unless we really take our time over getting to seriously high data rates.
Saying that we probably will do exactly that. FTTP availability was scaled back, FTTPoD has various flaws in it and take up has been abysmal in the few areas where it's been released in no small part due to those flaws, and Openreach are doing their utmost to protect leased line revenues by offering farcically low upstream speeds.
The flaws refer to stupid things like refusing to install FTTPoD to a second address in the same physical building, great for those small businesses who are realistically going to be most of the market for this thing and rejecting installs to what they think are MDUs because the (contractor) surveyors see two cars outside a house.
Charging the full price rather than the considerably lower 'transitional' price for 330/30 on FTTPoD won't be helping matters, and that it costs CPs 45.60GBP/month just to get 330/30 to the exchange.
So I'll slightly modify my remark. If Openreach stop being tools about upstream on FTTP and sort out the FTTPoD offering so that it's actually a genuinely usable product rather than lip service to cover up for their not wanting to spend on FTTP to save a few hundred million on CapEx edge may struggle to keep pace with access.
I know FTTPoD is being looked at again due to both disinterest from ISPs, 3 year contracts are scary things and the rental price is a rip off, and their customers. We'll see if this changes anything.
Personally I would far rather Openreach increase the installation cost and offer their full FTTP portfolio, though with an FTTP portfolio that actually properly reflects that GPON is 2.4Gb down and 1.2Gb up, not the 2.4Gb down and 240Mb up you'd think it were given their offerings.
The idea that they are selling enough FTTP to have contention issues on the upstream is laughable, and even more so on FTTPoD. Purely a cynical commercial move which looks even more pathetic when you note that even in the more capitalist and indeed as far as telecomms goes monopolist USA the far bigger telco Verizon deliver higher upstreams on their PON network both to home and business users - because they know that a company that needs dedicated, SLA'd bandwidth isn't going to dump it for best effort FTTP via PON and accept it's how the market is now.
Edited by Ignitionnet (Thu 19-Sep-13 21:22:20)