there may be higher "potential" speeds under congestion, but latency and packet loss is what I am referring to which happens when a host link gets full, these then can have unpredictable affects on traffic.
How often do you see "acceptable" levels of congestion? I only tend to see "acceptable" levels when policing is carried out. Sadly once congestion starts to occur things can go downhill very fast when is no policing system in place.
Is burst speed more important than everything else
You have to look past the averages, peak time demand is more important. Of course we will disagree on VM, I seen them as a failure in capacity management whilst you dont.
If we look past the people who download the internet (which I think is a fair few of them around me), the typical user's increase will probably come from with what they can get away with so e.g. in the past it may be the case the bill payer would ban kids from downloading in the evening so his/her netflix/iplayer works properly, but lets them rip over night, something like g.fast may stop households needing to do that kind of thing so as such peak time demand jumps up. It may also be we see 4k streaming become more popular (which is inevitable, youtube and netflix already involved in 4k streaming) this ultimately increases bandwidth consumption, we are also in an era where games distribution is fast moving to digital on consoles, things dont stay stagnated as you are suggesting, and if this is how isp's approach things its no wonder they keep getting caught out, you said it yourself both VM and BT have been caught out by utilisation at different points of time.
Where I agree with you is if there is only typical users on a node, there wont be a problem, that I am not arguing. The problem is if there is a bunch of people insisting on getting the max out of their connection clustered together on one node, then we have a problem without policing or extra capacity. I think this is especially possible when you have crowded households where can be easily 4 to 5 devices downloading at the same time. As it wont be that easy for a single device to pull 300mbit+ but quite easy for a few to do it.
So as i said I will keep my VDSL line

maybe I will claw crosstalk back also if people hop onto the g.fast service.
Edited by Chrysalis (Wed 09-Sep-15 20:30:58)