My take away so far is that OR are working to get 96% of homes able to order FTTP by 2027.
Last I heard the target was 85% by December 2027, and 95% by 2030.
As of
July, coverage was about 47% and growing at about 1% per month, so they're more or less on target.
However there are other FTTP networks, so total UK FTTP coverage is higher than that -
currently around 70%.
The Turville Health (THTV) exchange that the cabinet sits below, isn’t yet on the upgrade plans but presumably will be 2027.
I think this may be a fairly small (number of premises served) exchange.
Does it seem possible/likely that this could be replaced as part of the FTTP roll out?
perhaps OR could cable the FTTC cabs back to a larger close-by exchange instead of upgrading THTV to be FTTP ready?
The copper connections go back to the local exchange, but the fibre connections (from FTTC cabinets and from FTTP network) go via fibre aggregation nodes directly to the head-end exchange, as explained by others. That is, OR have *already* cabled the FTTC cabs with fibre-optic back to the head-end exchange. Only the copper E-side cables run from the FTTC cabs to the local exchange.
The local exchange won't be "upgraded" for FTTP, and eventually it will be closed. That will be when the last ADSL equipment is removed (multiple providers host their own ADSL DSLAMs in Openreach exchanges), any leased line nodes are decommissioned, and so on.
You may see your local exchange mentioned in FTTP rollout plans, but that just means the exchange *area*: the geographical footprint around the exchange which is currently served by copper from that exchange.
In terms of peoples best guesses, is there anything about the following setup that would be a red flag to upgrading to FTTP?
In terms of geographic layout of the potential house to cabinet ..
It’s a pretty short run. 50 to 75m meter and ducted into the property (I’m not sure where from - cab or nearest pole?))
Two houses closer to the cabinet are on over head cables.
Cabinets aren't generally involved in FTTP. What matters is the fibre aggregation node, but the locations of these aren't published.
As I said before, if you see a large chamber close to an FTTC cabinet, with three lids, that's an indication that it *may* be a fibre aggregation node.
However, the FTTP network plan may be to serve your property from a completely different fibre aggregation node. For example if the local exchange is in one direction from your building but the head-end exchange is in the opposite direction, you'll likely be served from a FAN which sits between you and the head-end exchange. It also depends on what ducts and poles exist.
Given the cabinet has been upgraded to FTTC and the house gets very good speed to the premises does this mean that a FTTC cabinet can be upgraded to be FTTP after exchange is upgraded fairly easily and without too much expense to OR?
Except in very unusual circumstances, FTTC cabinets have nothing to do with FTTP. When FTTP is fully rolled out in an area, and all customers have been migrated to it (which will take years), the FTTC cabinet is likely to be decommissioned and removed. Or just rust away.
my fear was that with under 50 houses on the cabinet they might leave it as a FTTC cab with copper last mile indefinitely and this is what scares us off the property.
It is certainly a possibility. Hence your issues are:
1. Could *you* live with 80/20Mbps Internet indefinitely?
2. Would lack of FTTP make the house more difficult to sell in the future?
(1) you can answer, but (2) is crystal-ball gazing. None of us can do anything which gives you any certainty about FTTP, so it's down to you how long you're intending to live there and whether the plus sides of the house outweigh that particular risk, or whether the asking price sufficiently accounts for that risk.
There *is* always Starlink, which is quite expensive as an ongoing cost, but not outrageously so (I think around £75 per month, plus the electricity bill from the power-hungry terminal).