count the number of jrpgs on ps2 and compare to ps3, its a sharp decline.
none yet announced for the ps4.
square-enix the main jrpg AAA developer are reviewing their entire company and have already said their focus is shifting to mobile.
konami almost went bankrupt but vesperia ps3/jap version DLC costume sales saved them. Their games use anim.cartoon type graphics, they dont need ps4 hardware. Although they still been making ps3 games they have also commented in public they need to reduce cost of their games and are likely to shift to other platforms. Already most of their games are on portables.
tri-ace last game was star ocean 4, no more star ocean games, star ocean 4 on the 360 was subsidised by microsoft and that game was launched very early in the 360/ps3 era. tri-ace seem all but dead, although they helped square enix with ff13-2.
ff13-3 is looking more like an action game with rpg elements than a true jrpg, so square enix is also westernising their games, likely due to the shift of focus to graphics and their pampering to western players. ff13-3 is a ps3 not ps4 game.
square are making ff15 for the ps4. although its in dev not going to be launched soon.
I agree with you there is lots of indie dev activity but how much of the games are good, some are good, but also is a lot of trash, some commentators have compared the current situation to the 1980s game crash where quality games were reduced (current shrinkage of AAA titles to few genres) and a influx of low quality games. Also most of the indie activity is on the pc with steam and mobiles not the consoles. Molyneux seems to have abandoned consoles it doesnt fit with his vision, his new game is debuting on steam during septemeber (beta) and will also be on android/ios. His development costs as a result are a fraction of what they would be on console.
Now microsoft do own a jrpg company, that made lost oddysey and blue dragon, both good games, lost oddysey in fact was excellent and in my opinion a tie in with vesperia for best jrpg of current gen lost oddysey 2 was originally planned also but since microsoft failed to crack the jap market I think they have abandoned any new jrpg's they will fund. I assume they think its not worth making jrpgs for western gamers.
I have got my phone able to output to a monitor with a mhl cable, an app to keep the audio out the phone whilst using the cable (as otherwise sound doesnt work since monitor got no speakers) and I also brought a moga gamepad for my phone, some custom univeral driver someone made supposedbly makes this gamepad able to work on any android game, which if it does mobile gaming becomes viable as then have a gamepad and big screen, but so far I havent been able to get the android version of ff3 to work with this gamepad.
I think within 3 years mobile smartphones will be capable of doing hdmi output trivially (already are in fact) and have better support for prepherials, at this point any genre that doesnt need hd resolution graphics will likely be developed for mobile devices instead as its way cheaper and 100s of millions of people own smartphones. Not only is it cheaper to develop but also less licensing issues and easier to sell with google play etc. Thats why can get games for £1 on there vs £5-10 (budget price) on a console.
This is what my prediction is really. I think the ps4/xbox1 are the last consoles that will exist, after that consoles wont be relevant. It will be cloud and mobile gaming, pc's will keep their place but will be a small market.
BT Infinity 2 Since Dec 2012 -
BQM