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Standard User deleted
(deleted) Fri 09-Aug-13 18:50:46
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Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[link to this post]
 
My apologies I'm probably over thinking this one; If an exchange has 6000 lines
and 200 people can't have fibre do you think the plug will be pulled on ADSL one day leaving users without a broadband service ?

Edited by deleted (Fri 09-Aug-13 18:51:50)

Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Fri 09-Aug-13 18:52:46
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
No

There is no-one who cannot have fibre, just the question of who pays for it

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Fri 09-Aug-13 21:11:53
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
ADSL may at some point in the distant future be replaced by GPON FTTH from an exchange up to 60 miles way, so my answer would be "yes, eventually".

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics


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Standard User techguy
(experienced) Fri 09-Aug-13 21:29:22
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
Would be nice if it did and I could pick up 100 Meg unlimited fibre for 15 quid a month.

Not likely in my lifetime I don't think.

Virgin (ADSL) => Namesco => Newnet => O2 => Plusnet => Zen => Newnet => Zen => Freeola => Vivaciti (using O2 Wholesale DSL) => Xilo (C&W Wholesale) => Xilo (O2 Wholesale)
Router: Billion 7800N
Note: I don't lay turf for anyone. astro or otherwise, all views and opinions expressed are my own based on experience.
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:14:19
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: techguy] [link to this post]
 
The kit's on sale for long range GPON, http://www.telnet-ri.es/fileadmin/user_upload/hojas_... just leaves the minor issue of getting the commercials right smile

£30/month with it replacing the copper would be a more likely entry level.

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics
Standard User RobertoS
(sensei) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:14:45
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
tongue
That isn't true of the second part of the question smile. Which is the question asked in the Subject.

My broadband basic info/help site - www.robertos.me.uk | Domains,website and mail hosting - Tsohost.
Connection - Plusnet UnLim Fibre (FTTC). Sync ~ 51.8/16.8Mbps @ 600m. - BQM

"Where talent is a dwarf, self-esteem is a giant." - Jean-Antoine Petit-Senn.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Allergy information: This post was manufactured in an environment where nuts are present. It may include traces of understatement, litotes and humour.

Edited by RobertoS (Fri 09-Aug-13 22:16:06)

Standard User deleted
(deleted) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:20:52
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
Doesn't that mean all the copper wires will be replaced by fibre ? I guess that means they just need to run fibre to the home which is cheaper than maintaining an FTTC cabinet?
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:21:37
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: RobertoS] [link to this post]
 
I think we can be sure that ADSL will at some point become obsolete.

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics
Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:26:51
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
Cheaper to maintain but more expensive to install

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User deleted
(deleted) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:31:35
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
But do you think the 5%, who won't get fibre for commercial reasons. will then loose thier service? Or will ADSL keep going until this isn't an issue?
Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:32:59
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
Politically no way that fixed line broadband can be withdrawn until an equivalent latency/bandwidth option in place.

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User deleted
(deleted) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:33:42
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: MrSaffron] [link to this post]
 
I guess though by then they would take the fibre from an old FTTC box?
Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Fri 09-Aug-13 22:36:07
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
But VDSL does not have the range of ADSL....so repeaters or regenerators in Openreach language may be the norm.

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User RobertoS
(sensei) Sat 10-Aug-13 00:40:45
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
Indeed we can, but the point of the OP's question is in the tail. See also his reply to your reply to me.

My broadband basic info/help site - www.robertos.me.uk | Domains,website and mail hosting - Tsohost.
Connection - Plusnet UnLim Fibre (FTTC). Sync ~ 51.8/16.8Mbps @ 600m. - BQM

"Where talent is a dwarf, self-esteem is a giant." - Jean-Antoine Petit-Senn.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Allergy information: This post was manufactured in an environment where nuts are present. It may include traces of understatement, litotes and humour.
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Sat 10-Aug-13 07:18:07
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
In reply to a post by zarkrax:
I guess though by then they would take the fibre from an old FTTC box?


In my long range vision there will be no street side electronics - just passive optical splitters in chambers or up poles.

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Sat 10-Aug-13 07:18:54
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
nobody will lose service, IMHO.

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics
Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Sat 10-Aug-13 10:09:10
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
I have that vision, but hopefully will have retired and be sat in a chair in my garden by then

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User deleted
(deleted) Sat 10-Aug-13 10:57:33
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
It will go. How quickly depends on HS broadband take up and technology progress and the driving down of costs. Having active equipment distributed around the streets in a pretty uncontrolled environment is not ideal and is costly.

A full fibre solution starts to look attractive when you get into the region of 50% takeup
Standard User kwikbreaks
(eat-sleep-adslguide) Mon 12-Aug-13 12:12:38
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
In reply to a post by Bob_s2:
Having active equipment distributed around the streets in a pretty uncontrolled environment is not ideal and is costly
As proven by the level of debt Virgin Media have ended up with...
Standard User deleted
(deleted) Mon 12-Aug-13 12:59:38
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
Actually, there is a serious point about the economics of ADSL at the level of exchanges here. There is a substantial investment in exchange equipment, leased lines, etc required to support an ADSL service. The number of ADSL lines is now falling. So, at what point does it become uneconomic to support or replace ADSL equipment at an exchange?

I assume that leased lines & their interfaces can be shared, but what about the ADSL interface? If BTW or LLU operators have no obligation to provide an ADSL service, what is to stop them saying that it is not worth replacing old equipment and simply withdrawing the service at the end of the life of existing equipment?

An alternative is that manufacturers offer mix & match modules so that the equipment is simply a rack of modules whose composition and configuration are adjusted to the demand for different services. That may already be possible in the more advanced exchanges but what about all the 20CN ADSL1 equipment that is out there.
Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Mon 12-Aug-13 13:01:19
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
With BT services there is a 3 year notice period for the withdrawal of a product, so no need to get too emo over ADSL withdrawal

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User Chrysalis
(legend) Mon 12-Aug-13 14:09:32
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: MrSaffron] [link to this post]
 
its pretty obvious adsl will never be withdrawn where there is no newer tech to replace it, that alone would be a disaster for the government, so if BT were to say eg. they find it unviable to continue supporting it, its highly probable the government would step in to lean BT the other way eg. subsidies.

In areas where newer techs are available such as FTTC, it is possible but if it ever happens then the users would probably be bumped up to the newer tech.

BT arent going to just disconnect users en masse.

BT Infinity 2 Since Dec 2012 - BQM
Standard User ukhardy07
(fountain of knowledge) Mon 12-Aug-13 14:12:34
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
Bear in mind ISPs still deliver dial up services especially those who cannot get broadband yet. In years and years and years when there's other technology to support everyone who has ADSL they may remove it but those on ADSL then will probably get a free upgrade to the newer technology.
Administrator MrSaffron
(staff) Mon 12-Aug-13 14:13:06
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: Chrysalis] [link to this post]
 
Plus 95% of households already have a choice of two DSLAMs in their local telephone exchange.

A better question would be, what date do people think that 90% of those in the UK with a broadband subscription will have full FTTP connections to the home? Or will 4G/5G mean this will never happen?

Andrew Ferguson, [email protected]
www.thinkbroadband.com - formerly known as ADSLguide.org.uk
The author of the above post is a thinkbroadband staff member. It may not constitute an official statement on behalf of thinkbroadband.
Standard User Andrue
(knowledge is power) Mon 12-Aug-13 14:48:57
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: kwikbreaks] [link to this post]
 
In reply to a post by kwikbreaks:
In reply to a post by Bob_s2:
Having active equipment distributed around the streets in a pretty uncontrolled environment is not ideal and is costly
As proven by the level of debt Virgin Media have ended up with...
Yeah but they've started making a profit this year. They'll soon have worked off the debt laugh

---
Andrue Cope
Brackley, UK
Standard User Andrue
(knowledge is power) Mon 12-Aug-13 14:49:50
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: MrSaffron] [link to this post]
 
In reply to a post by MrSaffron:
I have that vision, but hopefully will have retired and be sat in a chair in my garden by then
FTTC - Fibre To The Chair?

smile

---
Andrue Cope
Brackley, UK
Standard User RobertoS
(sensei) Mon 12-Aug-13 20:47:20
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: Andrue] [link to this post]
 
Commode.

My broadband basic info/help site - www.robertos.me.uk | Domains,website and mail hosting - Tsohost.
Connection - Plusnet UnLim Fibre (FTTC). Sync ~ 51.8/16.8Mbps @ 600m. - BQM

"Where talent is a dwarf, self-esteem is a giant." - Jean-Antoine Petit-Senn.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Allergy information: This post was manufactured in an environment where nuts are present. It may include traces of understatement, litotes and humour.
Standard User zyborg47
(eat-sleep-adslguide) Wed 14-Aug-13 17:36:48
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
I think it will be years before that happens. Still people using dial up.

I know a few people who have no interest in fibre and have no need for it. they will not change unless the price goes down.

Adrian

Desktop machine now powered by windows 8 pro 64bit, no dreaded metro , laptop by Mint

ALLPAY Wireless broadband
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Wed 14-Aug-13 23:08:39
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: RobertoS] [link to this post]
 
In reply to a post by RobertoS:
Commode.


Google TISP ?

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics
Standard User yarwell
(sensei) Wed 14-Aug-13 23:10:54
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: deleted] [link to this post]
 
the VDSL kit as per FTTC will do ADSL too, so tossing some of that into an exchange would address any hardware obsolescence issues (not to mention exchange based VDSL which the standards exist for)

--

Phil

MaxDSL - goes as fast as it can and doesn't read the line checker first.

MaxDSL diagnostics
Standard User RobertoS
(sensei) Thu 15-Aug-13 01:10:52
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Re: Hypothetical question: Will ADSL be come obsolete.


[re: yarwell] [link to this post]
 
In reply to a post by yarwell:
Google TISP ?
LOL
I'd completely forgotten about that. Quite amusing that fibre routed through sewers does exist, I believe.

My broadband basic info/help site - www.robertos.me.uk | Domains,website and mail hosting - Tsohost.
Connection - Plusnet UnLim Fibre (FTTC). Sync ~ 51.8/16.8Mbps @ 600m. - BQM

"Where talent is a dwarf, self-esteem is a giant." - Jean-Antoine Petit-Senn.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Allergy information: This post was manufactured in an environment where nuts are present. It may include traces of understatement, litotes and humour.
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