For those of us without Fibre BT/Openreach have done a poor job - maybe the future Openreach will be better.
Ah - the Brexit/Trump gambit: We don't know what we're voting
for, but we don't like what we're voting
against.
What I say next isn't going to be very palatable:
Those people living in places where comms is not viable (or not very viable) will
always be at this end of the financial spectrum. It will
always be hard to justify rolling out a service, at least until society as a whole feels sorry for them.
There is little that can happen to make these places more viable, unless they hand over more money. They will
always be last to be dealt with ... and will
always be handled when costs have finally diminished to a palatable state. And, of course, this will also
always be in parallel with the rollout of higher-specification stuff back in the profitable areas.
This is a financial fact of life. It is true for Openreach. It is true for VM. It will be true for Ofcom's desired "third way" company.
It was true for the GPO too. In the 1930's, line rental would be a set amount for distances of 1.5 miles. Then add that amount on again for each extra half mile. The cost was extortionate: you needed party lines of 4+ to make it reasonable. And, even so, it still wasn't profitable for the GPO.
So what is it about splitting Openreach that changes this state of affairs? Just when BT had finally reached the point of self-funding the USO work?
I just don't see any circumstances where Openreach see it as worthwhile to continue paying that attention to borderline places. No-one will know the outcome of a split - so the cost of borrowing will go up for a few years. All those questionable, borderline-viable places fall out again.
This will be a young organisation. It might have had to justify budget-keeping inside BT, but that isn't the same as keeping sales and marketing going as a standalone organisation that has never had to sell a thing in its life. It will be seen as risky, with questionable decision-making.
If Openreach is going to be more palatable to the money markets than BT currently is, it is going to need to demonstrate that it is a competently-led, trustable organisation. That trust takes time to build ... and what will Openreach be doing to build that trust? By concentrating on profitable areas first - where there is room for mistakes to be made.
IMO, a split pretty much ensures that those being left out will have the attention they were about to get (and certainly deserve) taken away. For a long time.
Rather like the Brexit vote: the country has turned into a riskier proposition for years to come.
Couldn't be any worse speed wise.
One plausible worse-case outcome: You see no change for 10 years, while all those profitable places get 4x - 8x speed improvements.